WNBA “20”16: 10-Week Progress Report

Heading into the WNBA’s most recent Olympic sabbatical four seasons ago, Dan Hughes’s San Antonio (then-Silver) Stars were playing the bestball in the league. Alas, the Becky Hammon Bunch never recaptured their mojo, were summarily eliminated from the 2012 playoffs by LA, and seem to have been struggling ever since.

This time around, it is the Olympian-rich Minnesota Lynx who enter the moratorium at the top of their game, having outplayed their last six opponents by an astounding 9.5 possessions per game.

Similarly, the Indiana Fever righted their ship and closed strong (7-3) after a shaky start in their attempt to send off retiring superstar Tamika Catchings and relocating head coach Stephanie White in style. Ironically, it was the opportunistic Fever who got on a roll and stole the ’12 title from the defending champion Lynx.

Of course, with but 12 teams, the “W” is so laden with talent that all teams, except perhaps for the snake-bitten Stars, have good cause for optimism, the belief that a well-timed visit to that elusive “Zone” can lead to a championship.

While the quadrennial TV extravaganza that is the Olympic Games provides a rare and welcome peek at international women’s ball – I’m particularly anxious to see Australia’s Liz Cambage again – I’ll be counting the days till the WNBA's return on Aug. 26.

The following data reflects play through Friday, July 22.

We’ll rank the teams from 1 to 12 in all criteria and simply add up the rankings. Low score wins, naturally.

Progress Reports for 2-Weeks, 4-Weeks, 6-Weeks and 8-Weeks are also available.

(The criteria is explained below.)

No. 1 Los Angeles Sparks, 21-3 (11)

[8-week Abacus rating: 1

6-week Abacus rating: 1

4-week Abacus rating: 1

2-week Abacus rating: 1

2015 Abacus rating: 10]

KK:  +9; (10 Road Wins – 1 Home Loss) / No. 1 overall

Flow:  +4.08; (41.92 stops OF opp [No.5] – 37.83 stops BY opp [No.1] / No.2 overall

Striping:  +0.71; (+1.08) conversions [No. 5] – (+0.38) opp conversions [No. 4] / No. 4 overall

SPOR-t:  +39; (582 [No. 3] – 543 [No. 4]) / No. 4 overall

Abacus Revelation: Over the last 8 weeks, the Sparks have shot over 50% (.502) from the field.

No. 2 Minnesota Lynx, 21-4 (14)

[8-week Abacus rating: 2

6-week Abacus rating: 1

4-week Abacus rating: 2

2-week Abacus rating: 2

2015 Abacus rating: 2]

KK:  +8; (10 Road Wins – 2 Home Loss) / No. 2 overall

Flow:  +6.28; (46.24 stops OF opp [No.1] – 39.96 stops BY opp [No.2] / No.1 overall

Striping:  -0.70; (+0.26) conversions [No. 9] – (+0.96) opp conversions [No.10] / No. 10 overall

SPOR-t:  +144; (605 [No. 1] – 461 [No. 1]) / No. 1 overall

Abacus Revelation: On the heels of a rare stretch of mediocre play, the Lynx have run off six consecutive victories by an average of 17.5 points..

No. 3 New York Liberty, 18-8 (19)

[8-week Abacus rating: 3

6-week Abacus rating: 4

4-week Abacus rating: 4

2-week Abacus rating: 6

2015 Abacus rating: 1]

KK:  +5; (10 Road Wins – 5 Home Losses) / No. 3 overall

Flow:  +2.31; (44.35 stops OF opp [No.2] – 42.04 stops BY opp [No.7] / No. 3 overall

Striping:  -1.02; (-0.19) conversions [No. 11] – (+0.83) opp conversions [No. 7] / No. 11 overall

SPOR-t:  +83; (581 [No. 4] – 498 [No. 2]) / No. 2 overall

Abacus Revelation: On the season, the Liberty are 5-0 in games decided by five points or fewer.

ABACUS INFOMERCIAL

Masters of the Craft (Part 1)

Which teams are performing the rudimentary skills of the game most proficiently at both ends of the floor? Let’s consider six elements of play: FG shooting, three-point shooting, Points per Game, Offensive Rebounding, the matter of turnovers and the SPOR-t score of our ratings. These teams hold a Top Four rank offensively and defensively:

FG%: Chicago, Los Angeles, Minnesota

3FG%: Los Angeles, New York

PPG: Los Angeles, Minnesota

OR%: Minnesota, New York

TO%: Los Angeles, Minnesota

SPOR-t: Chicago, Los Angeles, Minnesota, New York

No. 4 Chicago Sky, 11-13 (21)

[8-week Abacus rating: 6

6-week Abacus rating: 3

4-week Abacus rating: 3

2-week Abacus rating: 6

2015 Abacus rating: 3]

KK:  -1; (5 Road Wins – 6 Home Losses) / No. 6 overall

Flow:  +1.00; (41.67 stops OF opp [No.6] – 40.67 stops BY opp [No.3] / No.4 overall

Striping:  -0.42; (+0.69) conversions [No. 7] – (+1.10) opp conversions [No. 11] / No. 8 overall

SPOR-t:  +60; (600 [No. 2] – 540 [No. 3]) / No. 3 overall

Abacus Revelation: The league’s second best three-point shooters (.387) sport the lowest usage rate (.158). Cause & Effect, or a strategic flaw?

No. 5 Indiana Fever, 12-12 (21.5)

[8-week Abacus rating: 4

6-week Abacus rating: 9

4-week Abacus rating: 7

-week Abacus rating: 5

2015 Abacus rating: 4]

KK:  +1; (7 Road Wins – 6 Home Losses) / No. 4 overall (tied)

Flow:  -1.37; (40.04 stops OF opp [No.8] – 41.42 stops BY opp [No.5] / No.7 overall

Striping:  +0.94; (+1.04) conversions [No. 6] – (+0.10) conversions [No. 3] / No. 3 overall

SPOR-t:  -11; (540 [No. 8] – 551 [No. 6]) / No. 7 overall

Abacus Revelation: Through 10 weeks, the Fever are the best defensive rebounding team(.808) in the “W”.

ABACUS INFOMERCIAL

Scoring Pace, Weeks 9 & 10 (32 games)

100+ points: 1  [11 overall – 3.8%]

90-99 points: 14  [64 overall – 21.9%]

80-89 points: 20  [90 overall – 30.8%]

70-79 points: 17  [92 overall – 31.5%]

60-69 points: 9  [31 overall – 10.6%]

<60 points: 3  [4 overall – 1.4%]

No. 6 Atlanta Dream, 13-12 (26.5)

[8-week Abacus rating: 7

6-week Abacus rating: 6

4-week Abacus rating: 4

2-week Abacus rating: 3

2015 Abacus rating: 8]

KK:  +1; (5 Road Wins – 4 Home Losses) / No. 4 overall) (tied)

Flow:  +0.80; (43.20 stops OF opp [No.3] – 42.40 stops BY opp [No.8] / No.5 overall

Striping:  -1.38; (-1.60) conversions [No. 12] – (-0.22) conversions [No. 1] / No. 12 overall

SPOR-t:  +7; (561 [No. 5] – 554 [No. 7]) / No. 5 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Dream have attempted 106 more FT’s then their opponents, the largest differential in the league.

No. 7 Dallas Wings, 9-16 (29.5)

[8-week Abacus rating: 4

6-week Abacus rating: 5

4-week Abacus rating: 6

2-week Abacus rating: 4

2015 Abacus rating: 6]

KK:  -3; (4 Road Wins – 7 Home Losses) / No. 7 overall (tied)-4

Flow:  -3.68; (39.96 stops OF opp [No.10] – 43.64 stops BY opp [No.11] / No.12 overall

Striping:  +1.36; (+1.24) conversions [No. 3] – (-0.12) conversions [No. 2] / No. 1 overall

SPOR-t:  -48; (557 [No. 6] – 605 [No. 12]) / No. 8 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Wings were atypically outrebounded by 14 per game in their last five outings.

ABACUS INFOMERCIAL

Scoring Differential, Weeks 9 & 10 (32 games)

1-5 points: 8  [41 overall – 28.1%]

6-10 points: 9  [52 overall – 35.6%]

11-15 points: 5  [23 overall – 15.8%]

16-20 points: 5  [13 overall – 8.9%]

>20: 5  [17 overall – 11.6%]

No. 8 Phoenix Mercury, 10-14 (30.5)

[8-week Abacus rating: 10

6-week Abacus rating: 10

4-week Abacus rating: 11

2-week Abacus rating: 12

2015 Abacus rating: 4]

KK:  -3; (3 Road Wins – 6 Home Losses) / No. 7 overall (tied)-4

Flow:  +0.29; (42.00 stops OF opp [No.4] – 41.71 stops BY opp [No.6] / No.6 overall

Striping:  -0.25; (+1.13 conversions [No. 4] – (+1.38) opp conversions [No. 12] / No. 6 overall

SPOR-t:  -68; (505 [No. 10] – 573 [No. 10]) / No. 10 overall

Abacus Revelation: During Weeks 9 & 10, the Merc and their opposition combined to drain 57 of 127 treys, a sizzling .449 clip.

No. 9 Connecticut Sun, 8-16 (32.5)

[8-week Abacus rating: 11

6-week Abacus rating: 12

4-week Abacus rating: 12

2-week Abacus rating: 8

2015 Abacus rating: 9]

KK:  -3; (5 Road Wins – 8 Home Losses) / No. 7 overall (tied)-4

Flow:  -2.50; (41.63 stops OF opp [No.7] – 44.13 stops BY opp [No.12] / No.9 overall

Striping:  -0.44; (+0.13) conversions [No. 10] – (+0.56) conversions [No. 5] / No. 9 overall

SPOR-t:  +2; (549 [No. 7] – 547 [No. 5]) / No. 6 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Sun played the third best FG defense (.430) in the league during Weeks 9 & 10.

No. 9 Washington Mystics, 9-15 (32.5)

[8-week Abacus rating: 8

6-week Abacus rating: 7

4-week Abacus rating: 8

2-week Abacus rating: 9

2015 Abacus rating: 7]

KK:  -3; (5 Road Wins – 8 Home Losses) / No. 7 overall (tied)-4

Flow:  -2.87; (40.04 stops OF opp [No.8] – 42.92 stops BY opp [No.9] / No.10 overall

Striping:  +0.54; (+1.40) conversions [No. 2] – (+0.85) opp conversions [No. 8] / No. 5 overall

SPOR-t:  -65; (507 [No. 9] – 572 [No.9]) / No. 9 overall

Abacus Revelation: While dropping their last five games, the Mystics yielded .485 FG shooting (.425 on threes).

ABACUS INFOMERCIAL

Masters of the Craft (Part 2)

Are not the exceptionally inept worthy of some recognition? Here are the teams that hold a Bottom Four offensive and defensive ranking in our key elements of play: FG shooting, three-point shooting, PPG, Offensive Rebounding, Turnovers and SPOR-t..

FG%: Dallas

3FG%: Connecticut, San Antonio

PPG: N/A

OR%: Los Angeles, Phoenix, Seattle

TO%: New York, Phoenix

SPOR-t: Phoenix, Seattle, Washington

No. 11 Seattle Storm, 9-15 (33)

[8-week Abacus rating: 9

6-week Abacus rating: 8

4-week Abacus rating: 8

2-week Abacus rating: 10

2015 Abacus rating: 11]

KK:  -4; (3 Road Wins – 7 Home Losses) / No. 11 overall

Flow:  -1.46; (39.71 stops OF opp [No.12] – 41.17 stops BY opp [No.4] / No.8 overall

Striping:  +1.02; (+1.88) conversions [No. 1] - (+0.85) opp conversions [No. 8] / No. 2 overall

SPOR-t:  -109; (487 [No. 12] – 596 [No. 11]) / No. 12 overall

Abacus Revelation: Nearly one of every three (32.6%) Seattle shots is a three-pointer, the highest usage rate in the league.

No. 12 San Antonio Stars, 5-18 (41)

[8-week Abacus rating: 12

6-week Abacus rating: 11

4-week Abacus rating: 10

2-week Abacus rating: 10

2015 Abacus rating: 12]

KK:  -6; (1 Road Win – 7 Home Losses) / No. 12 overall

Flow:  -3.35; (39.87 stops OF opp [No.11] – 43.22 stops BY opp [No.10] / No.11 overall

Striping:  -0.26; (+0.35) conversions [No. 8] – (+0.61) opp conversions [No. 6] / No. 7 overall

SPOR-t:  -74; (492 [No. 11] – 566 [No.8]) / No. 11 overall 

Abacus Revelation: The Stars’ offense struggled to 63.8 points per game on .391 FG shooting during Weeks 9 & 10.

The Grading Scale

“Flow”: this calculation puts a number to a team’s unsuccessful possessions (i.e. the other guys’ “stops”). Just take their missed field goals (attempts minus makes), subtract the offensive rebounds, and then add the turnovers. The “scores” represent per-game performance.

“Striping”: this calculation measures the impact of missed free throws and made treys. By subtracting the former from the latter [3’s minus missed FT’s], we identify a team’s gain or loss in points through “specialty shooting.” Again the “scores” are per-game. (A further division by two converts “points” to “conversions” – thus they can be combined with the “Flow” score.)

KK: Karl Kount – named for George Karl – is a way to measure a team’s grit and savvy through its ability to defend its home court and win on the road, a simple calculation for generally reliable info.

 “SPOR-t”: SPOR-t stands for “Shooting Plus Offensive Rebounds minus turnovers.” Add a team’s FG percentage and its offensive rebounding percentage (o. boards divided by the sum of those o. boards and the opposition's d. boards). Then subtract the percentage of a team’s possessions lost to turnovers. For example, a team shoots field goals at a .488 clip, offensive rebounds at a rate of .199, and commits a turnover on .143 of its possessions. So its SPOR-t is (488+199-143) or 544. Once again, our measurement will be the difference between the SPOR-t scores of a team and its opposition.

MLB Pitching 2016: The “Heavy-Duty” Contingent

Entering the 2016 All-Star Break, the St. Louis Cardinals had used five starting pitchers … the same five, over and over again, for 88 games.

Can you believe it?

The rest of MLB has trotted out a whopping 243 dudes – and three of them have suited up for two separate teams.

A shade shy of 30% of those starting pitchers – 72 non-Cardinals – started 17 or more games for his team(s), the minimal workload for full-timers at this point of the season.

5 Full-timers: Cardinals (5 total starters)

4 Full-timers: Cubs (6), Giants (6), Blue Jays (7), Rays (7), Marlins (8)

3 Full-timers: Mets (6), Astros (7), Nationals (7), Phillies (7), Royals (7), D’backs (8), Red Sox (9), Angels (10), Pirates (11)

2 Full-timers: Orioles (7), Yankees (7(, Brewers (8), Indians (8), Tigers (8), White Sox (8), Rangers (10), Braves (12), Dodgers (12)

1 Full-timer: Mariners (9), Rockies (9), Twins (9), Padres (10), A’s (11), Reds (12)

NOTE: James Shields has split his 18 starting assignments between the Padres and White Sox.

A hundred years ago, it was rare for a starting pitcher worth his salt NOT to work a complete game. In more recent times, crusty competitors like a Roger Clemens, Jack Morris  or Bob Gibson would take umbrage at their removal from any game.

But times do change. A reliable “closer” has been a necessity in MLB for a quarter-century or more. The Bullpen – for decades merely a receptacle for pitchers not capable enough to break into the starting rotation – has become a multi-headed everyday player.

Complete-game performances have been dwindling for years – a mere 43 so far this season, about three per week. Unless the pace quickens, 2016 will be the first time MLB hurlers do not deliver at least 100.

In the structure of today’s game – and on the heels of back-to-back World Series heroics from an old-fashioned Iron Man and a new-fangled bevy of relief specialists – the starting pitcher’s standard for notable performance has become the Seven-Inning Start. (ESPN baseball blogger deluxe David Schoenfield invented an accolade he calls a “Felix,” earned for 7+ innings of work with minimal damage.)

Through 1,331 games, an MLB starting pitcher has induced 21 (or more) opponent outs on 639 occasions – just under one Long Start (LS) for every two games played, seven such outings (on average) on any given day with a full slate of games. Team totals for LS’s range from a low of 13 (3 pitching staffs, including the defending champs) to the 37 each accrued by the 2014 champions and Canada’s team. Six staffs total 30 or more LS’s, another ten have a minimum of 20.

Just for fun, what say we combine the dependability of the guy who has missed no starting assignments with the durability of the guy who can take his game into the late innings on a regular basis? What do you suppose we’ll get?

A list of fourteen pitchers is what we end up with – players who have yet to miss a turn in the rotation, and who have logged seven or more innings of work in at least half their outings.

It’s quite a collection of talent, despite the exclusion of studs Clayton Kershaw and Steven Strasburg, each of whom has insufficient starts at this “midpoint.” The group of arms, which includes five Cy Young recipients, has amassed nearly a quarter (144) of this season’s LS’s and over a third (16) of its CG’s. This 14-headed collective accounts for 254 games started and has posted a record of 127-64; the pitcher’s team holds a 156-98 record in this set of games overall.

Allow me and my abacus, if you will, to perform a little mathematical manipulation on these “statistics.” Let’s award a credit for each LS and additionally for each CG – 144 + 16 = 160 credits. Then we’ll charge a demerit for each Team Loss and additionally for each Losing Decision – 98 + 64 = 162 demerits. Finally subtract the demerits from the credits and divide by the total number of starting assignments – (160 – 162) / 254 = (-2) / 254 = -0.008. [A full discussion of this standard of measure can be found here.]

Negative eight thousandths? Sounds like the evaluation of someone whose job performance is ever so slightly worse than totally incompetent, huh?

In actuality, it’s a score that would rank a starting pitcher among the Top Ten in MLB for either of the past two seasons.

So who, pray tell, are the Elite 14? The list includes four sets of teammates and represents only 10 teams, six of whom reside in the American league.

San Francisco’s Johnny Cueto, with 13 LS’s and an MLB-leading 4 CG’s in 18 starts, is posting an extraordinary score of 0.778. That score is more than double MLB’s best in either of the last two seasons.

More in line with the recent top dogs – Zack Greinke (0.313) and Adam Wainwright (0.324) – is the performance of Chris Sale (0.333) on Chicago’s South Side.

The season’s third-best showing – featuring no CG’s and a little help from the relief corps (10 No-Decisions, Yuck!) – has been provided by the Yankees’ Masahiro Tanaka (0.111).

Toronto teammates J. A. Happ and Aaron Sanchez join 2015 Cy Young Award winner Jake Arrieta at 0.056, while fellow Cubbie John Lester presents an even (0.000) ledger.

[Of the 77 full-timers, the top tier of this “metric” is rounded out by Baltimore’s Chris Tillman (0.105), Greinke (0.059), Cole Hamels (0.056) of Texas and Giant ace Madison Bumgarner (0.053).]

This year’s other seven Iron Men, including the other four Cy-guys: David Price (CYA, 2012) and Max Scherzer (2013) at -0.105; Washington’s Tanner Roark at -0.111; Justin Verlander (2011) and Korey Kluber (2014) at -0.167; Jose Quintana of the White Sox at -0.444; and Atlanta’s Julio Teheran at -0.611.

The baseball dictionary has traditionally defined Momentum as “Tomorrow’s Starting Pitcher.”

Despite all the game’s growth, expansion and innovation, this enduring reality might be its most endearing quality. 

WNBA “20”16: 8-Week Progress Report

In a sport so predicated on snap decisions made in the course of fast-moving play, the combination of a sound, versatile skill set with exceptional court awareness is a valuable commodity. My paragon for this under-appreciated role on a successful team is Janeth Arcain of the original Houston Comets. The Coopers, Swoopes and Thompson got the accolades; Kim Perrot’s brave struggles inspired and touched our hearts. But a string of championships does not ensue without the contributions of the steady, heady 5’9” Brazilian.

Indiana Fever veteran Erlana Larkins has been performing that kind of role in recent seasons for a consistent contender.

Do you suppose the confidence and caginess of grizzled vets Jantel Lavender (I just love her interior passing skills!) and Alana Beard can complement the performance of the LA Sparks, a team that has been teasin greatness for several seasons.

Time will tell.

The following data reflects play through Friday, July 8.

We’ll rank the teams from 1 to 12 in all criteria and simply add up the rankings. Low score wins, naturally.

Progress Reports for Week 2, Week 4 and Week 6 are also available.

(The criteria is explained below.)

No. 1 Los Angeles Sparks, 17-1 (10.5)

[6-week Abacus rating: 1

4-week Abacus rating: 1

2-week Abacus rating: 1

2015 Abacus rating: 10]

KK:  +6; (7 Road Wins – 1 Home Loss) / No. 1 overall (tied)

Flow:  +4.94; (43.00 stops OF opp [No.4] – 38.06 stops BY opp [No.1] / No.2 overall

Striping:  +0.97; (+0.89) conversions [No. 5] – (-0.08) opp conversions [No. 1]) / No. 3 overall

SPOR-t:  +39; (568 [No. 5] – 529 [No. 3]) / No. 4 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Sparks rank No. 1 in both shooting (.391) and defending (.281) the three-ball.

No. 2 Minnesota Lynx, 15-4 (13)

[6-week Abacus rating: 1

4-week Abacus rating: 2

2-week Abacus rating: 2

2015 Abacus rating: 2]

KK:  +6; (8 Road Wins – 2 Home Loss) / No. 1 overall (tied)

Flow:  +5.26; (46.58 stops OF opp [No.1] – 41.32 stops BY opp [No.3] / No.1 overall

Striping:  -0.50; (+0.63) conversions [No. 6] – (+1.13) opp conversions [No.11] / No. 9 overall (tied)

SPOR-t:  +99; (570 [No. 4] – 471 [No. 1]) / No. 1 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Lynx’s generally reliable defense allowed their opposition to hit nearly 40% of their three-pointers during Weeks 7 & 8.

No. 3 New York Liberty, 14-6 (19)

[6-week Abacus rating: 4

4-week Abacus rating: 4

2-week Abacus rating: 6

2015 Abacus rating: 1]

KK:  +5; (9 Road Wins – 4 Home Losses) / No. 3 overall

Flow:  +1.90; (44.95 stops OF opp [No.2] – 43.05 stops BY opp [No.11] / No. 3 overall

Striping:  -0.75; (-0.05) conversions [No. 11] – (+0.70) opp conversions [No. 9] / No. 11 overall

SPOR-t:  +78; (572 [No. 3] – 494 [No. 2]) / No. 2 overall

Abacus Revelation: While only one of six Liberty shots is a trey, they hit three of every eight of their tries (No. 2 in the league) from behind the arc.

ABACUS INFOMERCIAL

Masters of the Craft (Part 1)

Which teams are performing the rudimentary skills of the game most proficiently at both ends of the floor? Let’s consider six elements of play: FG shooting, three-point shooting, Points per Game, Offensive Rebounding, the matter of turnovers and the SPOR-t score of our ratings. These teams hold a Top Four rank offensively and defensively:

FG%: Chicago, Los Angeles, Minnesota

3FG%: New York, Los Angeles

PPG: Los Angeles, Minnesota

OR%: Chicago, New York

TO%: Los Angeles

SPOR-t: Minnesota, New York

No. 4 Dallas Wings, 9-11 (24)

[6-week Abacus rating: 5

4-week Abacus rating: 6

2-week Abacus rating: 4

2015 Abacus rating: 6]

KK:  -1; (4 Road Wins – 5 Home Losses) / No. 6 overall (tied)-3

Flow:  -2.35; (40.65 stops OF opp [No.9] – 43.00 stops BY opp [No.10] / No.10 overall

Striping:  +1.08; (+1.13) conversions [No. 2] – (-0.05) conversions [No. 3] / No. 1 overall

SPOR-t:  +5; (580 [No. 2] – 575 [No. 10]) / No. 6 overall

Abacus Revelation: Little surprise that the league’s best offensive rebounding team (.336) includes savvy vets Courtney Paris and Plenette Pierson.

No. 4 Indiana Fever, 8-11 (24)

[6-week Abacus rating: 9

4-week Abacus rating: 7

-week Abacus rating: 5

2015 Abacus rating: 4]

KK:  0; (5 Road Wins – 5 Home Losses) / No. 4 overall (tied)

Flow:  -1.95; (40.63 stops OF opp [No.10] – 42.58 stops BY opp [No.7] / No.8 overall (tied)

Striping:  +0.68; (+0.58) conversions [No. 7] – (-0.11) conversions [No. 2] / No. 4 overall

SPOR-t:  -8; (533 [No. 8] – 541 [No. 4]) / No. 7 overall

Abacus Revelation: By this standard of measurement (and despite a 3-2 record), the Fever were the “W’s” best team during Weeks 7 & 8..

ABACUS INFOMERCIAL

Scoring Pace, Weeks 7 & 8 (31 games)

100+ points: 1  [10 overall – 4.4%]

90-99 points: 12  [50 overall – 21.9%]

80-89 points: 26  [70 overall – 30.7%]

70-79 points: 15  [75 overall – 32.9%]

60-69 points: 8  [22 overall – 9.6%]

<60 points: 0  [1 overall – 0.4%]

No. 6 Chicago Sky, 7-11 (24.5)

[6-week Abacus rating: 3

4-week Abacus rating: 3

2-week Abacus rating: 6

2015 Abacus rating: 3]

KK:  -1; (3 Road Wins – 4 Home Losses) / No. 6 overall (tied)-3

Flow:  +0.72; (42.00 stops OF opp [No.5] – 41.28 stops BY opp [No.2] / No.5 overall

Striping:  -0.50; (+0.39) conversions [No. 9] – (+0.89) opp conversions [No. 10] / No. 9 overall (tied)

SPOR-t:  +48; (592 [No. 1] – 544 [No. 5]) / No. 3 overall

Abacus Revelation: On the season, opponents take 7.5 more FT’s per game than the Sky, the league’s largest deficit.

No. 7 Atlanta Dream, 10-9 (25.5)

[6-week Abacus rating: 6

4-week Abacus rating: 4

2-week Abacus rating: 3

2015 Abacus rating: 8]

KK:  0; (4 Road Wins – 4 Home Losses) / No. 4 overall) (tied)

Flow:  +1.53; (44.32 stops OF opp [No.3] – 42.79 stops BY opp [No.8] / No.4 overall

Striping:  -1.84; (-1.74) conversions [No. 12] – (+0.11) conversions [No. 3] / No. 12 overall

SPOR-t:  +12; (561 [No. 6] – 549 [No. 6]) / No. 5 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Dream have been the league’s worst three-point shooters (currently .255) for a month now.

ABACUS INFOMERCIAL

Scoring Differential, Weeks 7 & 8 (31 games)

1-5 points: 15  [33 overall – 28.9%]

6-10 points: 8  [43 overall – 37.7%]

11-15 points: 4  [18 overall – 15.8%]

16-20 points: 2  [8 overall – 7.0%]

>20: 2  [12 overall – 10.5%]

No. 8 Washington Mystics, 9-10 (28)

[6-week Abacus rating: 7

4-week Abacus rating: 8

2-week Abacus rating: 9

2015 Abacus rating: 7]

KK:  -1; (5 Road Wins – 6 Home Losses) / No. 6 overall (tied)-3

Flow:  -1.26; (41.16 stops OF opp [No.6] – 42.42 stops BY opp [No.6] / No.7 overall

Striping:  +0.45; (+1.05) conversions [No. 3] – (+0.61) opp conversions [No. 7] / No. 5 overall

SPOR-t:  -40; (518 [No. 9] – 558 [No.7]) / No. 9 overall

Abacus Revelation: During Weeks 7 & 8, the slick Mystics played the league’s most turnover-free ball (.117).

No. 9 Seattle Storm, 7-12 (32)

[6-week Abacus rating: 8

4-week Abacus rating: 8

2-week Abacus rating: 10

2015 Abacus rating: 11]

KK:  -2; (3 Road Wins – 5 Home Losses) / No. 9 overall (tied)

Flow:  -1.95; (39.63 stops OF opp [No.12] – 41.58 stops BY opp [No.5] / No.8 overall (tied)

Striping:  +1.00; (+1.61) conversions [No. 1] - (0.61) opp conversions [No. 7] / No. 2 overall

SPOR-t:  -119; (484 [No. 12] – 603 [No. 12]) / No. 12 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Storm rest at the bottom of the barrel in both offensive (.208) and defensive (.688) rebounding.

ABACUS INFOMERCIAL

Masters of the Craft (Part 2)

Are not the exceptionally inept worthy of some recognition? Here are the teams that hold a Bottom Four offensive and defensive ranking in our key elements of play: FG shooting, three-point shooting, PPG, Offensive Rebounding, Turnovers and SPOR-t.

FG%: Dallas

3FG%: Connecticut, Indiana, San Antonio

PPG: Connecticut

OR%: Los Angeles, Phoenix, Seattle

TO%: New York, Seattle

SPOR-t: Phoenix, San Antonio, Seattle 

No. 10 Phoenix Mercury, 8-12 (34.5)

[6-week Abacus rating: 10

4-week Abacus rating: 11

2-week Abacus rating: 12

2015 Abacus rating: 4]

KK:  -2; (3 Road Wins – 5 Home Losses) / No. 9 overall (tied)

Flow:  +0.20; (41.75 stops OF opp [No.7] – 41.55 stops BY opp [No.4] / No.6 overall

Striping:  -0.33; (+0.95 conversions [No. 4] – (+1.28) opp conversions [No. 12] / No. 8 overall

SPOR-t:  -71; (514 [No. 10] – 585 [No. 11]) / No. 11 overall

Abacus Revelation: First in points scored per game (86.4) while last in points allowed (87.5) says it all.

No. 11 Connecticut Sun, 5-13 (37)

[6-week Abacus rating: 12

4-week Abacus rating: 12

2-week Abacus rating: 8

2015 Abacus rating: 9]

KK:  -4; (2 Road Wins – 6 Home Losses) / No. 11 overall

Flow:  -4.61; (40.72 stops OF opp [No.8] – 45.33 stops BY opp [No.12] / No.12 overall

Striping:  -0.11; (+0.11) conversions [No. 10] – (+0.22) conversions [No. 5] / No. 6 overall

SPOR-t:  -20; (540 [No. 7] – 560 [No. 8]) / No. 8 overall

Abacus Revelation: Opponents took 10 more FT’s per game than the Sun during Weeks 7 & 8.

No. 12 San Antonio Stars, 5-14 (40)

[6-week Abacus rating: 11

4-week Abacus rating: 10

2-week Abacus rating: 10

2015 Abacus rating: 12]

KK:  -5; (1 Road Win – 6 Home Losses) / No. 12 overall

Flow:  -2.37; (40.42 stops OF opp [No.11] – 42.79 stops BY opp [No.8] / No.11 overall

Striping:  -0.13; (+0.39) conversions [No. 8] – (+0.53) opp conversions [No. 6] / No. 7 overall

SPOR-t:  -53; (510 [No. 11] – 563 [No. 9]) / No. 10 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Stars’ scrappy defense ranks third in points allowed per game (80.5).

The Grading Scale

“Flow”: this calculation puts a number to a team’s unsuccessful possessions (i.e. the other guys’ “stops”). Just take their missed field goals (attempts minus makes), subtract the offensive rebounds, and then add the turnovers. The “scores” represent per-game performance.

“Striping”: this calculation measures the impact of missed free throws and made treys. By subtracting the former from the latter [3’s minus missed FT’s], we identify a team’s gain or loss in points through “specialty shooting.” Again the “scores” are per-game. (A further division by two converts “points” to “conversions” – thus they can be combined with the “Flow” score.)

KK: Karl Kount – named for George Karl – is a way to measure a team’s grit and savvy through its ability to defend its home court and win on the road, a simple calculation for generally reliable info.

 “SPOR-t”: SPOR-t stands for “Shooting Plus Offensive Rebounds minus turnovers.” Add a team’s FG percentage and its offensive rebounding percentage (o. boards divided by the sum of those o. boards and the opposition's d. boards). Then subtract the percentage of a team’s possessions lost to turnovers. For example, a team shoots field goals at a .488 clip, offensive rebounds at a rate of .199, and commits a turnover on .143 of its possessions. So its SPOR-t is (488+199-143) or 544. Once again, our measurement will be the difference between the SPOR-t scores of a team and its opposition.