WNBA 2019’s sixth fortnight became a showcase for basketball
old-schooler Mike Thibault’s Washington Mystics, who have been sitting atop
these rankings since Week 6. While posting a perfect 5 – 0 record, EDD &
Co. were league-best in points both scored and allowed, FG and 3FG shooting,
Turnover percentage and Defensive Rebounding – also shot north of 90% from the
foul line.
In all likelihood, Coach T is fretting that they’re peaking
too soon!
It’s a Make-or-Miss League
Back on June 5, in each team’s third game of the season, the
Mystics and Chicago Sky both connected on exactly half their FG attempts – the only
occasion in 159 tip-offs when teams posted an identical FG%.
In the other 158 games, the squad who shot better from the
field has won a whopping 128 times (.810).
By contrast, the team holding an edge in Total Rebounds is 103
– 47 - 9 (.687) and the team committing fewer turnovers is 89 – 56 – 14 (.614).
Here’s what an average 2019 WNBA game performance looks
like, numerically.
[All data reflects play through Monday, August 19. An explanation of the criteria is available
here.]
Possessions: 78.6
Points: 77.8 [PPP:
0.990]
FG: 28.8 – 68.4, .421
3FG: 6.8 – 20.1, .337
3PAr/Usage rate: .294
FT: 13.5 – 16.8, .802
(Off – Tot) Reb: 9.2 – 34.8
[OR% .264]
TO: 14.7 [TO% .162]
No.
1 Washington Mystics, 20-7 (6)
[10-week Abacus Rank: No. 1
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 1
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 1
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 1
2-week Abacus Rank: No. 3]
KK: +7; (10 Road Wins
– 3 Home Losses) / No. 1 overall
Flow: +4.48; (44.8 stops
OF opp [No. 7] – 40.3 stops BY opp [No. 1] / No. 1 overall
Striping: +1.46; (+3.50)
conversions [No. 1] – (+2.04) opp conversions [No. 9] / No. 1 overall
SPOR-t: +59; (589
[No. 1] – 530 [No. 7]) / No. 3 overall
Abacus Revelation:
The Mystics have made exactly as many FT’s (379) as its opponents have taken.
No.
2 Connecticut Sun, 19-8 (14)
[10-week Abacus Rank: No. 2
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 4
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 2
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 2
2-week Abacus Rank: No. 1]
KK: +5; (6 Road Wins
– 1 Home Loss) / No. 2 overall
Flow: +0.67; (45.9 stops
OF opp [No. 5] – 45.2 stops BY opp [No. 6] / No. 4 overall
Striping: -0.28; (+1.09)
conversions [No. 10] – (+1.37) conversions [No. 4] / No. 7 overall
SPOR-t: +75; (556
[No. 2] – 481 [No. 2]) / No. 1 overall
Abacus Revelation:
Sun opponents post a higher 3PAr (.311) than connect rate for treys (.286) –
only the Aces duplicate this unusual achievement.
ABACUS INFOMERCIAL
Masters of the Craft
(Part 1)
Which teams are
performing the rudimentary skills of the game most proficiently at both ends of
the floor? Let’s consider six elements of play: FG shooting, three-point
shooting, Points per Game, Offensive Rebounding, the matter of turnovers and
the SPOR-t score of our ratings. These teams hold a Top Four rank offensively
and defensively:
FG%: Chicago, Las
Vegas
3FG%: Connecticut,
Las Vegas
PPG: NONE
OR%: Connecticut,
Minnesota, Seattle
TO%: Connecticut
SPOR-t:
Connecticut, Minnesota
No.
3 Las Vegas Aces, 18-9 (20)
[10-week Abacus Rank: No. 3
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 2
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 3
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 4
2-week Abacus Rank: No. 8]
KK: +3; (7 Road Wins
– 4 Home Losses) / No. 4 overall
Flow: +3.89; (49.4 stops
OF opp [No. 1] – 45.6 stops BY opp [No. 8] / No. 2 overall
Striping: -1.72; (+0.61)
conversions [No. 12] – (+2.33) opp conversions [No. 12] / No. 12 overall
SPOR-t: +68; (530
[No. 5] – 462 [No. 1]) / No. 2 overall
Abacus Revelation:
The Las Vegas D has induced a total of 1,195 missed FGA’s, 119 more than any
other squad this season.
No.
4 Chicago Sky, 15-11 (21.5)
[10-week Abacus Rank: No. 5
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 6
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 7
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 3
2-week Abacus Rank: No. 10]
KK: +1; (5 Road Wins
– 4 Home Losses) / No. 5 overall (tied)
Flow: +0.58; (46.8 stops
OF opp [No. 2] – 46.2 stops BY opp [No. 9] / No. 5 overall
Striping: +1.10;
(+2.33) conversions [No. 3] – (+1.23) opp conversions [No. 3] / No. 2 overall
SPOR-t: -28; (507
[No. 9] – 535 [No. 8]) / No. 9 overall
Abacus Revelation:
The Sky post the league’s second-highest 3PAr (.322), their opposition the
lowest (.260).
No. 5
Los Angeles Sparks, 15-10 (22)
[10-week Abacus Rank: No. 4
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 5
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 5
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 8
2-week Abacus Rank: No. 6]
KK: +4; (6 Road Wins
– 2 Home Losses) / No. 3 overall
Flow: -0.52; (46.3
stops OF opp [No. 2] – 46.8 stops BY opp [No. 10] / No. 8 overall
Striping: +0.88; (+2.64)
conversions [No. 2] – (+1.76) opp conversions [No. 7]) / No. 3 overall
SPOR-t: -18; (508
[No. 8] – 526 [No. 6]) / No. 8 overall
Abacus Revelation:
The Sparks’ D forced nearly 20 opponent TO’s per game during Weeks 11 & 12.
ABACUS INFOMERCIAL
Scoring Pace 159
games
100+ points: 10 games
90-99 points: 37
games
80-89 points: 83
games
70-79 points: 109
games
60-69 points: 63
games
<60 points: 16
games
No.
6 Minnesota Lynx, 13-14 (24.5)
[10-week Abacus Rank: No. 6
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 7
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 6
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 6
2-week Abacus Rank: No. 2]
KK: 0; (6 Road Wins –
6 Home Losses) / No. 7 overall (tied)
Flow: +1.41; (46.1 stops
OF opp [No. 4] – 44.7 stops BY opp [No. 4] / No. 3 overall
Striping: -0.61;
(+1.22) conversions [No. 8] – (+1.83) opp conversions [No. 8] / No. 10 overall
SPOR-t: +48; (541
[No. 3] – 493 [No. 3]) / No. 4 overall
Abacus
Revelation: The Lynx’s .446 marksmanship from the field ranks No. 2 in the
“W”.
No. 6
Seattle Storm, 15-13 (24.5)
[10-week Abacus Rank: No. 7
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 3
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 4
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 5
2-week Abacus Rank: No. 4]
KK: +1; (5 Road Wins
– 4 Home Losses) / No. 5 overall (tied)
Flow: +0.50; (45.4 stops
OF opp [No. 6] – 44.9 stops BY opp [No. 5] / No. 6 overall
Striping: -0.34; (+1.89)
conversions [No. 5] - (+2.23) opp conversions [No. 11] / No. 8 overall
SPOR-t: +14; (516
[No. 6] – 502 [No. 4]) / No. 5 overall
Abacus Revelation:
Both the Storm and their opponents have connected on 193 3FG’s.
ABACUS INFOMERCIAL
Scoring Differential
159 games
1-5 points: 46 games
6-10 points: 48 games
11-15 points: 26
games
16-20 points: 17 games
>20: 22 games
No.
8 Phoenix Mercury, 13-13 (30.5)
[10-week Abacus Rank: No. 7
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 8
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 7
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 10
2-week Abacus Rank: No. 9]
KK: 0; (4 Road Wins –
4 Home Losses) / No. 7 overall (tied)
Flow: +0.42; (43.8 stops
OF opp [No. 8] – 43.3 stops BY opp [No. 2] / No. 7 overall
Striping: +0.42;
(+2.17) conversions [No. 4] – (+1.75) opp conversions [No. 6] / No. 5 overall
SPOR-t: -74; (474
[No. 11] – 548 [No. 9]) / No. 11 overall
Abacus Revelation:
The Mercury struggled from the field during Weeks 11 & 12, shooting a
league-worst .375.
No. 9
Dallas Wings, 9-18 (31)
[10-week Abacus Rank: No. 9
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 9
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 10
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 9
2-week Abacus Rank: No. 7]
KK: -5; (1 Road Win –
6 Home Losses) / No. 11 overall
Flow: -2.22; (43.0 stops
OF opp [No. 11] – 45.2 stops BY opp [No. 7] / No. 10 overall
Striping: +0.59; (+1.67)
conversions [No. 6] – (+1.07) conversions [No. 1] / No. 4 overall
SPOR-t: +7; (516 [No.
6] – 509 [No. 5]) / No. 6 overall
Abacus Revelation:
The Wings have risen to No. 2 in scoring defense (75.1) through 12 weeks.
ABACUS INFOMERCIAL
Masters of the Craft
(Part 2)
Are not the
exceptionally inept worthy of some recognition? Here are the teams that hold a
Bottom Four offensive and defensive ranking in our key elements of play: FG
shooting, three-point shooting, PPG, Offensive Rebounding, Turnovers and
SPOR-t.
FG%: New York
3FG%: New York,
Seattle
PPG: Atlanta
OR%: Los Angeles, Phoenix
TO%: New York
SPOR-t: Atlanta, New
York
No.
10 Indiana Fever, 9-17 (36.5)
[10-week Abacus Rank: No. 10
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 10
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 9
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 7
2-week Abacus Rank: No. 5]
KK: -4; (4 Road Wins
– 8 Home Losses) / No. 9 overall (tied)
Flow: -1.65; (43.0 stops
OF opp [No. 12] – 44.7 stops BY opp [No. 3] / No. 9 overall
Striping: -0.79;
(+1.35) conversions [No. 7] – (+2.13) conversions [No. 10) / No. 11 overall
SPOR-t: -17; (541
[No. 3] – 558 [No. 11]) / No. 7 overall
Abacus Revelation:
The Fever take fewer than one in four shots (.244) from behind the Arc, No. 11
in 3PAr.
No.
10 New York Liberty, 8-18 (36.5)
[10-week Abacus Rank: No. 11
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 11
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 11
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 11
2-week Abacus Rank: No. 10]
KK: -4; (4 Road Wins
– 8 Home Losses) / No. 9 overall (tied)
Flow: -3.54; (43.5 stops
OF opp [No. 10] – 47.0 stops BY opp [No. 11] / No. 11 overall
Striping: -0.12; (1.17)
conversions [No. 9] – (+1.29) opp conversions [No. 2] / No. 6 overall
SPOR-t: -51; (502
[No. 10] – 553 [No. 10]) / No. 10 overall
Abacus Revelation:
The New York defense is yielding 84 points per game, worst in the circuit.
No.
12 Atlanta Dream, 5-21 (45)
[10-week Abacus Rank: No. 12
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 12
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 12
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 12
2-week Abacus Rank: No. 12]
KK: -8; (1 Road Win –
9 Home Losses) / No. 12 overall
Flow: -4.38; (43.6 stops
OF opp [No. 9] – 48.0 stops BY opp [No. 12] / No. 12 overall
Striping: -0.52; [+1.04)
conversions [No. 11] – (+1.56) conversions [No. 5] / No. 9 overall
SPOR-t: -97; (470
[No. 12] – 567 [No. 12]) / No. 12 overall
Abacus Revelation: Both the Dream and their adversaries have
attempted 459 Free Throws (17.7 per game).
Abacus Revelation for
the Road / Random Ranking – Per-game Turnover Differential
Through 159 games, WNBA play has produced 4,672 turnovers
(or 14.7 per game per team) … slightly under one out of six (.162) of the season’s
roughly 25,000 total offensive possessions.
For the record, on 14 occasions this season WNBA teams have
played to a standoff in the Turnover column of a game’s stat sheet … in the
remaining games, the team that committed fewer TO’s has 89 wins and 56 losses,
.614.
Washington -3.56 TO’s
committed per game [11.4 (No. 1) – 15.0 (No. 5)]
Los Angeles -1.72
TO’s committed per game [14.8 (No. 6) – 16.5 (No. 3)]
Connecticut -1.59
TO’s committed per game [14.4 (No. 4) – 16.0 (No. 4)]
Phoenix -0.77 TO’s
committed per game [12.9 (No. 2) – 13.7 (No. 8)]
Seattle -0.75 TO’s
committed per game [15.9 (No. 10) – 16.6 (No. 2)]
Minnesota +0.11 TO’s
committed per game [16.8 (No. 12) – 16.7 (No. 1)]
Indiana +0.85 TO’s
committed per game [13.7 (No. 3) – 12.9 (No. 12)]
Atlanta +0.96 TO’s
committed per game [14.4 (No. 5) – 13.5 (No. 11)]
Dallas +1.00 TO’s
committed per game [15.2 (No. 8) – 14.2 (No. 6)]
Las Vegas +1.22 TO’s
committed per game [15.1 (No. 7) – 13.9 (No. 7)]
Chicago +2.08 TO’s
committed per game [15.6 (No. 9) – 13.5 (No. 10)]
New York +2.27 TO’s
committed per game [15.9 (No. 11) – 13.7 (No. 8)]