Wednesday, June 8, 2022

WNBA 2022 thru four weeks


In the summer of 2021, the Bill Laimbeer-led Las Vegas Aces attempted a measly 432 three-point shots in their 32 games (roughly 13.5 per game) … less than half as many as not one but two separate teams (New York and Washington), and 120 fewer than the circuit’s second-most reluctant long-ballers (Indiana). [Worthy of note, the Aces’ .375 rate of accuracy did rank the No. 2 for the season.]

The opportunity to lead her former team, the re-located  San Antonio Silver Stars, lured WNBA legend Becky Hammon away from Greg Popovich’s staff, and the clever playmaker has imposed more versatility on the team’s offensive attack, particularly in their usage of the three-point arc – their per game attempts have almost doubled to 25, while the connect rate has improved to a league-best .380.

 

Here’s what the average 2022 WNBA game performance looks like, numerically.

[All data reflects play through Thursday, June 2.  An explanation of the criteria is available below.]

 

Possessions: 79.4

Points: 81.4  [PPP: 1.025]

FG: 29.4 – 67.8, .433

3FG: 7.6 – 21.9, .346

3PAr/Usage rate: .324

FT: 15.1 – 19.1, .789

(Off – Tot) Reb: 8.5 – 34.6  [OR% .246]

TO: 14.1  [TO% .156]

 

No. 1 Las Vegas Aces, 9-2 (13)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 2]

 

KK:  +2; (3 Road Wins – 1 Home Loss) / No. 1 overall (tied)

Flow:  +3.82; (46.5 stops OF opp [No. 3] – 42.6 stops BY opp [No. 3] / No. 2 overall

Striping:  +0.55; (+2.59) conversions [No. 2] – (+2.05) opp conversions [No. 7] / No. 6 overall

SPOR-t:  +27; (524 [No. 6] – 497 [No. 5]) / No. 2 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Aces rank No.1 in both shooting (.380) and defending (.299) the 3FG.

 

 

No. 2 Connecticut Sun, 7-3 (14)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 3]

 

KK:  +2; (3 Road Wins – 1 Home Loss) / No. 1 overall (tied)

Flow:  +4.50; (46.2 stops OF opp [No. 5] – 41.7 stops BY opp [No. 1] / No. 1 overall

Striping:  -0.70; (+1.00) conversions [No. 10] – (+1.70) conversions [No. 5] / No. 9 overall

SPOR-t:  +172; (634 [No. 1] – 462 [No. 2]) / No. 1 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Sun rank first in OR% (.345) and second in DR% (.771).

 

 

 

ABACUS INFOMERCIAL

Masters of the Craft (Part 1)

Which teams are performing the rudimentary skills of the game most proficiently at both ends of the floor? Let’s consider six elements of play: FG shooting, three-point shooting, Points per Game, Offensive Rebounding, the matter of turnovers and the SPOR-t score of our ratings. These teams hold a Top Four rank offensively and defensively:

FG%: Chicago, Las Vegas

3FG%: Atlanta, Connecticut, Las Vegas

PPG: Connecticut

OR%: Connecticut

TO%: Dallas, Seattle

SPOR-t: Connecticut

 

No. 3 Washington Mystics, 7-3 (16)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 1]

 

KK:  +2; (4 Road Wins – 2 Home Losses) / No. 1 overall (tied)

Flow:  +2.80; (45.8 stops OF opp [No. 6] – 43.0 stops BY opp [No. 4] / No. 3 overall

Striping:  +0.50; (+2.20) conversions [No. 6] – (+1.70) opp conversions [No. 5] / No. 7 overall

SPOR-t:  +23; (517 [No. 7] – 494 [No. 4]) / No. 3 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Mystics force three more TO’s per game than they commit.

 

 

No. 4 Atlanta Dream, 6-3 (20.5)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 5]

 

KK:  +1; (3 Road Win – 2 Home Losses) / No. 6 overall

Flow:  -0.78; (48.6 stops OF opp [No. 1] – 49.3 stops BY opp [No. 11] / No. 7 overall

Striping:  +1.50; [+2.39) conversions [No. 4] – (+0.89) conversions [No. 2] / No. 1 overall

SPOR-t:  +3; (440 [No. 4] – 437 [No. 10]) / No. 6 overall (tied)

Abacus Revelation: The Dream’s stingy defense has allowed opponents a paltry .379 FG%.

 

 

 

No.4 Dallas Wings, 5-4 (20.5)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 6]

 

KK:  +2; (4 Road Wins – 2 Home Losses) / No. 1 overall (tied)

Flow:  -2.00; (42.0 stops OF opp [No. 12] – 44.0 stops BY opp [No. 5] / No. 9 overall

Striping:  +1.39; (+2.50) conversions [No. 3] – (+1.11) conversions [No. 4] / No. 2 overall

SPOR-t:  +3; (532 [No. 4] – 529 [No. 7]) / No. 6 overall (tied)

Abacus Revelation: The Wings rank ninth in FG% … but fifth in per-game scoring.

 

 

ABACUS INFOMERCIAL

Scoring Pace 58 games

100+ points: 5 games

90-99 points: 24 games

80-89 points: 35 games

70-79 points: 39 games

60-69 points: 9 games

<60 points: 4 games  

 

No. 6 Seattle Storm, 5-3 (21.5)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 7]

 

KK:  -1; (0 Road Wins – 1 Home Loss) / No. 8 overall (tied)

Flow:  +1.75; (48.3 stops OF opp [No. 2] – 46.5 stops BY opp [No. 9] / No. 6 overall

Striping:  +1.00; (+3.44) conversions [No. 1] - (+2.44) opp conversions [No. 9] / No. 3 overall

SPOR-t:  +22; (497 [No. 9] – 482 [No. 3]) / No. 4 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Storm’s atrocious .404 FG% ranks them No. 11.

 

No. 7 Chicago Sky, 5-3 (22)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 4]

 

KK:  0; (2 Road Wins – 2 Home Losses) / No. 7 overall

Flow:  +1.88; (46.3 stops OF opp [No. 4] – 44.4 stops BY opp [No. 7] / No. 5 overall

Striping:  +0.81; (+1.69) conversions [No. 9] – (+0.88) opp conversions [No. 1] / No. 5 overall

SPOR-t:  +10; (517 [No. 7] – 507 [No. 6]) / No. 5 overall

Abacus Revelation: The “defending” champions rank 9th in DR% (.745) and 8th in forcing TO’s (.150).

ABACUS INFOMERCIAL

Scoring Differential 58 games

1-5 points: 14 games

6-10 points: 20 games

11-15 points: 7 games

16-20 points:  7 games

>20: 10 games

 

No. 8 Los Angeles Sparks, 5-6 (28)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 8]

 

KK:  +2; (3 Road Wins – 1 Home Loss) / No. 1 overall (tied)

Flow:  +2.00; (43.8 stops OF opp [No. 9] – 41.8 stops BY opp [No. 2] / No. 4 overall

Striping:  -2.32; (+0.18) conversions [No. 11] – (+2.50) opp conversions [No. 10]) / No. 11 overall

SPOR-t:  -44; (530 [No. 5] – 574 [No. 12]) / No. 10 overall

Abacus Revelation: The sharp-shooting (.480) Sparks rank first in FG% … with 9 fewer 3FGA’s per game.

 

 

 

No. 9 Indiana Fever, 3-9 (36)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 9]

 

KK:  -4; (1 Road Win – 5 Home Losses) / No. 12 overall

Flow:  -4.58; (43.8 stops OF opp [No. 8] – 48.4 stops BY opp [No. 10] / No. 11 overall

Striping:  +0.92; (+1.96) conversions [No. 7] – (+1.04) conversions [No. 3) / No. 4 overall

SPOR-t:  -36; (533 [No. 3] – 569 [No. 11]) / No. 9 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Fever yield a league-worst 89.2 ppg.

 

 

No. 10 Minnesota Lynx, 2-8 (38)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 10]

 

KK:  -2; (1 Road Win – 3 Home Losses) / No. 10 overall

Flow:  -1.10; (43.2 stops OF opp [No. 11] – 44.3 stops BY opp [No. 6] / No. 8 overall

Striping:  -2.55; (0.00) conversions [No. 12] – (+2.55) opp conversions [No. 11] / No. 12 overall

SPOR-t:  -1; (537 [No. 2] – 538 [No. 7]) / No. 8 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Lynx rank 10th in 3FG% (.320) and 9th in defending treys (.370)..

 

ABACUS INFOMERCIAL

Masters of the Craft (Part 2)

Are not the exceptionally inept worthy of some recognition? Here are the teams that hold a Bottom Four offensive and defensive ranking in our key elements of play: FG shooting, three-point shooting, PPG, Offensive Rebounding, Turnovers and SPOR-t.

FG%: Dallas, Indiana

3FG%: Minnesota, New York, Phoenix

PPG: Minnesota, Phoenix

OR%: Los Angeles, New York

TO%: Minnesota, New York

SPOR-t: Phoenix

 

 

No. 11 Phoenix Mercury, 2-7 (39.5)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 11]

 

KK:  -1; (1 Road Win – 2 Home Losses) / No. 8 overall (tied)

Flow:  -2.44; (43.2 stops OF opp [No. 10] – 45.7 stops BY opp [No. 8] / No. 10 overall

Striping:  -0.83; (+1.94) conversions [No. 8] – (+2.78) opp conversions [No. 12] / No. 10 overall

SPOR-t:  -76; (466 [No. 10] – 542 [No. 10]) / No. 11 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Mercury and their opponents have each attempted 157 free throws.

 

 

No. 12 New York Liberty, 2-7 (43)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 12]

 

KK:  -3; (0 Road Wins – 3 Home Losses) / No. 11 overall

Flow:  -5.56; (44.4 stops OF opp [No. 7] – 50.0 stops BY opp [No. 12] / No. 12 overall

Striping:  +0.28; (+2.39) conversions [No. 4] – (+2.11) opp conversions [No. 8] / No. 8 overall

SPOR-t:  -140; (398 [No. 12] – 538 [No. 8]) / No. 12 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Liberty lead the “W” in 3FG usage (40.2% of their FGA’s).

 

 

Abacus Revelation for the Road / Random Ranking – Per-game Differential in Free-Throw Attempts

 

In its first 58 games, WNBA 2022 produced exactly 2,214 free-throw attempts – an average of 18.1 per game per team.

 

Las Vegas +5.73 FTA’s per game [22.1 (No. 3) – 16.4 (No. 3)]

Minnesota +4.50 FTA’s per game [23.1 (No. 1) – 18.6 (No. 6)]

Connecticut +3.70 FTA’s per game [22.7 (No. 2) – 19.0 (No. 7)]

Seattle +1.75 FTA’s per game [15.1 (No. 12) – 13.4 (No. 1)]

Washington +1.30 FTA’s per game [16.2 (No. 11) – 14.9 (No. 2)]

Los Angeles +0.09 FTA’s per game [22.1 (No. 4) – 22.0 (No. 10)]

Phoenix 0.00 FTA’s per game [17.4 (No. 7) – 17.4 (No. 4)]

Dallas -0.33 FTA’s per game [20.1 (No. 5) – 20.4 (No. 8)]

Chicago -0.75 FTA’s per game [17.0 (No. 8) – 17.8 (No. 5)]

Atlanta -4.78 FTA’s per game [16.8 (No. 9) – 21.6 (No. 9)]

Indiana -5.67 FTA’s per game [17.9 (No. 6) – 23.6 (No. 12)]

New York -5.89 FTA’s per game [16.3 (No. 10) – 22.2 (No. 11)]

 

 

The Grading Scale

 

“Flow”: this calculation puts a number to a team’s unsuccessful possessions (i.e. the other guys’ “stops”). Just take their missed field goals (attempts minus makes), subtract the offensive rebounds, and then add the turnovers. The “scores” represent per-game performance.

 

“Striping”: this calculation measures the impact of missed free throws and made treys. By subtracting the former from the latter [3’s minus missed FT’s], we identify a team’s gain or loss in points through “specialty shooting.” Again the “scores” are per-game. (A further division by two converts “points” to “conversions” – thus they can be combined with the “Flow” score.)

 

KK: Karl Kount – named for George Karl – is a way to measure a team’s grit and savvy through its ability to defend its home court and win on the road, a simple calculation for generally reliable info.

 

 “SPOR-t”: SPOR-t stands for “Shooting Plus Offensive Rebounds minus turnovers.” Add a team’s FG percentage and its offensive rebounding percentage (o. boards divided by the sum of those o. boards and the opposition's d. boards). Then subtract the percentage of a team’s possessions lost to turnovers. For example, a team shoots field goals at a .488 clip, offensive rebounds at a rate of .199, and commits a turnover on .143 of its possessions. So its SPOR-t is (488+199-143) or 544. Once again, our measurement will be the difference between the SPOR-t scores of a team and its opposition.

                                                                                                                                                                                           

 

We’ll rank the teams from 1 to 12 in all criteria and simply add up the rankings. Low score wins, naturally.