Showing posts with label Power Rankings. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Power Rankings. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 8, 2022

WNBA 2022 thru four weeks


In the summer of 2021, the Bill Laimbeer-led Las Vegas Aces attempted a measly 432 three-point shots in their 32 games (roughly 13.5 per game) … less than half as many as not one but two separate teams (New York and Washington), and 120 fewer than the circuit’s second-most reluctant long-ballers (Indiana). [Worthy of note, the Aces’ .375 rate of accuracy did rank the No. 2 for the season.]

The opportunity to lead her former team, the re-located  San Antonio Silver Stars, lured WNBA legend Becky Hammon away from Greg Popovich’s staff, and the clever playmaker has imposed more versatility on the team’s offensive attack, particularly in their usage of the three-point arc – their per game attempts have almost doubled to 25, while the connect rate has improved to a league-best .380.

 

Here’s what the average 2022 WNBA game performance looks like, numerically.

[All data reflects play through Thursday, June 2.  An explanation of the criteria is available below.]

 

Possessions: 79.4

Points: 81.4  [PPP: 1.025]

FG: 29.4 – 67.8, .433

3FG: 7.6 – 21.9, .346

3PAr/Usage rate: .324

FT: 15.1 – 19.1, .789

(Off – Tot) Reb: 8.5 – 34.6  [OR% .246]

TO: 14.1  [TO% .156]

 

No. 1 Las Vegas Aces, 9-2 (13)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 2]

 

KK:  +2; (3 Road Wins – 1 Home Loss) / No. 1 overall (tied)

Flow:  +3.82; (46.5 stops OF opp [No. 3] – 42.6 stops BY opp [No. 3] / No. 2 overall

Striping:  +0.55; (+2.59) conversions [No. 2] – (+2.05) opp conversions [No. 7] / No. 6 overall

SPOR-t:  +27; (524 [No. 6] – 497 [No. 5]) / No. 2 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Aces rank No.1 in both shooting (.380) and defending (.299) the 3FG.

 

 

No. 2 Connecticut Sun, 7-3 (14)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 3]

 

KK:  +2; (3 Road Wins – 1 Home Loss) / No. 1 overall (tied)

Flow:  +4.50; (46.2 stops OF opp [No. 5] – 41.7 stops BY opp [No. 1] / No. 1 overall

Striping:  -0.70; (+1.00) conversions [No. 10] – (+1.70) conversions [No. 5] / No. 9 overall

SPOR-t:  +172; (634 [No. 1] – 462 [No. 2]) / No. 1 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Sun rank first in OR% (.345) and second in DR% (.771).

 

 

 

ABACUS INFOMERCIAL

Masters of the Craft (Part 1)

Which teams are performing the rudimentary skills of the game most proficiently at both ends of the floor? Let’s consider six elements of play: FG shooting, three-point shooting, Points per Game, Offensive Rebounding, the matter of turnovers and the SPOR-t score of our ratings. These teams hold a Top Four rank offensively and defensively:

FG%: Chicago, Las Vegas

3FG%: Atlanta, Connecticut, Las Vegas

PPG: Connecticut

OR%: Connecticut

TO%: Dallas, Seattle

SPOR-t: Connecticut

 

No. 3 Washington Mystics, 7-3 (16)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 1]

 

KK:  +2; (4 Road Wins – 2 Home Losses) / No. 1 overall (tied)

Flow:  +2.80; (45.8 stops OF opp [No. 6] – 43.0 stops BY opp [No. 4] / No. 3 overall

Striping:  +0.50; (+2.20) conversions [No. 6] – (+1.70) opp conversions [No. 5] / No. 7 overall

SPOR-t:  +23; (517 [No. 7] – 494 [No. 4]) / No. 3 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Mystics force three more TO’s per game than they commit.

 

 

No. 4 Atlanta Dream, 6-3 (20.5)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 5]

 

KK:  +1; (3 Road Win – 2 Home Losses) / No. 6 overall

Flow:  -0.78; (48.6 stops OF opp [No. 1] – 49.3 stops BY opp [No. 11] / No. 7 overall

Striping:  +1.50; [+2.39) conversions [No. 4] – (+0.89) conversions [No. 2] / No. 1 overall

SPOR-t:  +3; (440 [No. 4] – 437 [No. 10]) / No. 6 overall (tied)

Abacus Revelation: The Dream’s stingy defense has allowed opponents a paltry .379 FG%.

 

 

 

No.4 Dallas Wings, 5-4 (20.5)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 6]

 

KK:  +2; (4 Road Wins – 2 Home Losses) / No. 1 overall (tied)

Flow:  -2.00; (42.0 stops OF opp [No. 12] – 44.0 stops BY opp [No. 5] / No. 9 overall

Striping:  +1.39; (+2.50) conversions [No. 3] – (+1.11) conversions [No. 4] / No. 2 overall

SPOR-t:  +3; (532 [No. 4] – 529 [No. 7]) / No. 6 overall (tied)

Abacus Revelation: The Wings rank ninth in FG% … but fifth in per-game scoring.

 

 

ABACUS INFOMERCIAL

Scoring Pace 58 games

100+ points: 5 games

90-99 points: 24 games

80-89 points: 35 games

70-79 points: 39 games

60-69 points: 9 games

<60 points: 4 games  

 

No. 6 Seattle Storm, 5-3 (21.5)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 7]

 

KK:  -1; (0 Road Wins – 1 Home Loss) / No. 8 overall (tied)

Flow:  +1.75; (48.3 stops OF opp [No. 2] – 46.5 stops BY opp [No. 9] / No. 6 overall

Striping:  +1.00; (+3.44) conversions [No. 1] - (+2.44) opp conversions [No. 9] / No. 3 overall

SPOR-t:  +22; (497 [No. 9] – 482 [No. 3]) / No. 4 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Storm’s atrocious .404 FG% ranks them No. 11.

 

No. 7 Chicago Sky, 5-3 (22)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 4]

 

KK:  0; (2 Road Wins – 2 Home Losses) / No. 7 overall

Flow:  +1.88; (46.3 stops OF opp [No. 4] – 44.4 stops BY opp [No. 7] / No. 5 overall

Striping:  +0.81; (+1.69) conversions [No. 9] – (+0.88) opp conversions [No. 1] / No. 5 overall

SPOR-t:  +10; (517 [No. 7] – 507 [No. 6]) / No. 5 overall

Abacus Revelation: The “defending” champions rank 9th in DR% (.745) and 8th in forcing TO’s (.150).

ABACUS INFOMERCIAL

Scoring Differential 58 games

1-5 points: 14 games

6-10 points: 20 games

11-15 points: 7 games

16-20 points:  7 games

>20: 10 games

 

No. 8 Los Angeles Sparks, 5-6 (28)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 8]

 

KK:  +2; (3 Road Wins – 1 Home Loss) / No. 1 overall (tied)

Flow:  +2.00; (43.8 stops OF opp [No. 9] – 41.8 stops BY opp [No. 2] / No. 4 overall

Striping:  -2.32; (+0.18) conversions [No. 11] – (+2.50) opp conversions [No. 10]) / No. 11 overall

SPOR-t:  -44; (530 [No. 5] – 574 [No. 12]) / No. 10 overall

Abacus Revelation: The sharp-shooting (.480) Sparks rank first in FG% … with 9 fewer 3FGA’s per game.

 

 

 

No. 9 Indiana Fever, 3-9 (36)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 9]

 

KK:  -4; (1 Road Win – 5 Home Losses) / No. 12 overall

Flow:  -4.58; (43.8 stops OF opp [No. 8] – 48.4 stops BY opp [No. 10] / No. 11 overall

Striping:  +0.92; (+1.96) conversions [No. 7] – (+1.04) conversions [No. 3) / No. 4 overall

SPOR-t:  -36; (533 [No. 3] – 569 [No. 11]) / No. 9 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Fever yield a league-worst 89.2 ppg.

 

 

No. 10 Minnesota Lynx, 2-8 (38)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 10]

 

KK:  -2; (1 Road Win – 3 Home Losses) / No. 10 overall

Flow:  -1.10; (43.2 stops OF opp [No. 11] – 44.3 stops BY opp [No. 6] / No. 8 overall

Striping:  -2.55; (0.00) conversions [No. 12] – (+2.55) opp conversions [No. 11] / No. 12 overall

SPOR-t:  -1; (537 [No. 2] – 538 [No. 7]) / No. 8 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Lynx rank 10th in 3FG% (.320) and 9th in defending treys (.370)..

 

ABACUS INFOMERCIAL

Masters of the Craft (Part 2)

Are not the exceptionally inept worthy of some recognition? Here are the teams that hold a Bottom Four offensive and defensive ranking in our key elements of play: FG shooting, three-point shooting, PPG, Offensive Rebounding, Turnovers and SPOR-t.

FG%: Dallas, Indiana

3FG%: Minnesota, New York, Phoenix

PPG: Minnesota, Phoenix

OR%: Los Angeles, New York

TO%: Minnesota, New York

SPOR-t: Phoenix

 

 

No. 11 Phoenix Mercury, 2-7 (39.5)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 11]

 

KK:  -1; (1 Road Win – 2 Home Losses) / No. 8 overall (tied)

Flow:  -2.44; (43.2 stops OF opp [No. 10] – 45.7 stops BY opp [No. 8] / No. 10 overall

Striping:  -0.83; (+1.94) conversions [No. 8] – (+2.78) opp conversions [No. 12] / No. 10 overall

SPOR-t:  -76; (466 [No. 10] – 542 [No. 10]) / No. 11 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Mercury and their opponents have each attempted 157 free throws.

 

 

No. 12 New York Liberty, 2-7 (43)

[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 12]

 

KK:  -3; (0 Road Wins – 3 Home Losses) / No. 11 overall

Flow:  -5.56; (44.4 stops OF opp [No. 7] – 50.0 stops BY opp [No. 12] / No. 12 overall

Striping:  +0.28; (+2.39) conversions [No. 4] – (+2.11) opp conversions [No. 8] / No. 8 overall

SPOR-t:  -140; (398 [No. 12] – 538 [No. 8]) / No. 12 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Liberty lead the “W” in 3FG usage (40.2% of their FGA’s).

 

 

Abacus Revelation for the Road / Random Ranking – Per-game Differential in Free-Throw Attempts

 

In its first 58 games, WNBA 2022 produced exactly 2,214 free-throw attempts – an average of 18.1 per game per team.

 

Las Vegas +5.73 FTA’s per game [22.1 (No. 3) – 16.4 (No. 3)]

Minnesota +4.50 FTA’s per game [23.1 (No. 1) – 18.6 (No. 6)]

Connecticut +3.70 FTA’s per game [22.7 (No. 2) – 19.0 (No. 7)]

Seattle +1.75 FTA’s per game [15.1 (No. 12) – 13.4 (No. 1)]

Washington +1.30 FTA’s per game [16.2 (No. 11) – 14.9 (No. 2)]

Los Angeles +0.09 FTA’s per game [22.1 (No. 4) – 22.0 (No. 10)]

Phoenix 0.00 FTA’s per game [17.4 (No. 7) – 17.4 (No. 4)]

Dallas -0.33 FTA’s per game [20.1 (No. 5) – 20.4 (No. 8)]

Chicago -0.75 FTA’s per game [17.0 (No. 8) – 17.8 (No. 5)]

Atlanta -4.78 FTA’s per game [16.8 (No. 9) – 21.6 (No. 9)]

Indiana -5.67 FTA’s per game [17.9 (No. 6) – 23.6 (No. 12)]

New York -5.89 FTA’s per game [16.3 (No. 10) – 22.2 (No. 11)]

 

 

The Grading Scale

 

“Flow”: this calculation puts a number to a team’s unsuccessful possessions (i.e. the other guys’ “stops”). Just take their missed field goals (attempts minus makes), subtract the offensive rebounds, and then add the turnovers. The “scores” represent per-game performance.

 

“Striping”: this calculation measures the impact of missed free throws and made treys. By subtracting the former from the latter [3’s minus missed FT’s], we identify a team’s gain or loss in points through “specialty shooting.” Again the “scores” are per-game. (A further division by two converts “points” to “conversions” – thus they can be combined with the “Flow” score.)

 

KK: Karl Kount – named for George Karl – is a way to measure a team’s grit and savvy through its ability to defend its home court and win on the road, a simple calculation for generally reliable info.

 

 “SPOR-t”: SPOR-t stands for “Shooting Plus Offensive Rebounds minus turnovers.” Add a team’s FG percentage and its offensive rebounding percentage (o. boards divided by the sum of those o. boards and the opposition's d. boards). Then subtract the percentage of a team’s possessions lost to turnovers. For example, a team shoots field goals at a .488 clip, offensive rebounds at a rate of .199, and commits a turnover on .143 of its possessions. So its SPOR-t is (488+199-143) or 544. Once again, our measurement will be the difference between the SPOR-t scores of a team and its opposition.

                                                                                                                                                                                           

 

We’ll rank the teams from 1 to 12 in all criteria and simply add up the rankings. Low score wins, naturally. 

Saturday, August 26, 2017

WNBA 2017: 14-week Progress Report

The 25 WNBA games staged during Weeks 13 & 14 bore witness to 14 40+% three-point shooting performances. [Fortnight Four’s 23 tip-offs produced 20 such displays.]

Two teams shot north of Forty for the full 14 days, two allowed such marksmanship – the Sky did both.

Simultaneously, the ladies had their roughest stretch of the season at the foul line, a paltry .789. Of course, even at that level, the “W’s” free-throw accuracy easily surpasses the production of their NBA brethren. In an average game this summer, a team shoots 16.08 for 19.96 (.805) from the charity stripe.

Fast Fact: In WNBA ’17, the team that attempts more free throws is 108 – 57 (.655).


The following rankings reflect play through Friday, August 18. An explanation of the criteria is available here. An index of the season’s bi-weekly ratings is available here.


No. 1 Minnesota Lynx, 22-5 (11.5)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 1
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 1
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 1
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 1
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 1
12-week Abacus Rank: No. 1]

KK:  +8; (10 Road Wins – 2 Home Loss) / No. 1 overall (tied)
Flow:  +5.70; (45.1 stops OF opp [No. 1] – 39.4 stops BY opp [No. 1] / No. 1 overall
Striping:  -0.37; (+0.85) conversions [No. 8] – (+1.22) opp conversions [No. 8] / No. 8 overall
SPOR-t:  +130; (634 [No. 1] – 504 [No. 1]) / No. 1 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Lynx’s 14.6 points-per-100-possessions edge is six points more than the next best squad (LA).


No. 2 Los Angeles Sparks, 21-8 (13.5)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 8
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 5
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 5
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 5
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 3
12-week Abacus Rank: No. 3]

KK:  +8; (9 Road Wins – 1 Home Loss) / No. 1 overall (tied)
Flow:  +3.24; (42.9 stops OF opp [No. 6] – 39.6 stops BY opp [No. 2] / No. 2 overall
Striping:  -0.22; (+1.14) conversions [No. 4] – (+1.36) opp conversions [No. 11]) / No. 6 overall
SPOR-t:  +29; (568 [No. 5] – 539 [No. 4]) / No. 4 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Sparks have held opponents below 70 points in seven games, tied for No. 1.


ABACUS INFOMERCIAL
Masters of the Craft (Part 1)

Which teams are performing the rudimentary skills of the game most proficiently at both ends of the floor? Let’s consider six elements of play: FG shooting, three-point shooting, Points per Game, Offensive Rebounding, the matter of turnovers and the SPOR-t score of our ratings. These teams hold a Top Four rank offensively and defensively:

FG%: Chicago, Minnesota
3FG%: Chicago, Minnesota
PPG: Los Angeles, Minnesota
OR%: Minnesota, New York, Washington
TO%: Los Angeles
SPOR-t: Connecticut, Minnesota, New York


No. 3 Connecticut Sun, 18-10 (17)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 11
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 7
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 3
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 4
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 4
12-week Abacus Rank: No. 4]

KK:  +4; (8 Road Wins – 4 Home Losses) / No. 3 overall
Flow:  +2.11; (43.6 stops OF opp [No. 2] – 41.5 stops BY opp [No. 5] / No. 3 overall
Striping:  -0.39; (+0.84) conversions [No. 9] – (+1.23) conversions [No. 9] / No. 9 overall
SPOR-t:  +84; (604 [No. 2] – 520 [No. 3]) / No. 2 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Sun own the lowest TO rate (.125) in the loop.


No. 4 Washington Mystics, 16-12 (18)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 2
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 3
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 4
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 2
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 2
12-week Abacus Rank: No. 2]

KK:  +2; (6 Road Wins – 4 Home Losses) / No. 5 overall
Flow:  +1.04; (41.8 stops OF opp [No. 8] – 40.8 stops BY opp [No. 3] / No. 5 overall
Striping:  +0.59; (+1.75) conversions [No. 2] – (+1.16) opp conversions [No. 6] / No. 3 overall
SPOR-t:  +25; (584 [No. 3] – 559 [No. 7]) / No. 5 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Mystics’ FG defense (.506) went missing-in-action during Weeks 13 & 14.


No. 5 Phoenix Mercury, 15-13 (20)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 7
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 2
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 2
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 3
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 5
12-week Abacus Rank: No. 5]

KK:  +1; (8 Road Win – 7 Home Losses) / No. 6 overall
Flow:  +1.29; (43.1 stops OF opp [No. 3] – 41.8 stops BY opp [No. 6] / No. 4 overall
Striping:  +0.82; (+1.04) conversions [No. 6] – (+0.21) opp conversions [No. 1] / No. 2 overall
SPOR-t:  -23; (533 [No. 10] – 556 [No. 6]) / No. 8 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Mercury ranked second shooting (.487) during Weeks 13 & 14.



ABACUS INFOMERCIAL
Scoring Pace 25 games [171 overall]

100+ points: 6 games [18 overall]
90-99 points: 6 games [62 overall]
80-89 points: 19 games [123 overall]
70-79 points: 12 games [95 overall]
60-69 points: 6 games [35 overall]
<60 points: 1 games [9 overall]



No. 6 New York Liberty, 16-12 (24)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 5
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 7
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 6
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 6
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 7
12-week Abacus Rank: No. 6]

KK: +3; (7 Road Wins – 4 Home Losses) / No. 4 overall
Flow:  +0.68; (42.9 stops OF opp [No. 5] – 42.3 stops BY opp [No. 7] / No. 6 overall
Striping:  -0.55; (+0.63) conversions [No. 10] – (+1.18) opp conversions [No. 7] / No. 11 overall
SPOR-t:  +74; (578 [No. 4] – 504 [No. 1]) / No. 3 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Liberty shot better on three balls (.455) than overall (.437) in a recent home victory over the defending champs.


No. 7 Chicago Sky, 11-17 (29.5)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 11
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 10
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 10
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 10
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 8
12-week Abacus Rank: No. 7]

KK:  -3; (7 Road Wins – 10 Home Losses) / No. 8 overall (tied)
Flow:  -2.14; (42.7 stops OF opp [No. 7] – 44.9 stops BY opp [No. 12] / No. 10 overall
Striping:  +1.14; (+1.63) conversions [No. 3] – (+0.48) opp conversions [No. 2] / No. 1 overall
SPOR-t:  -55; (539 [No. 9] – 594 [No. 9]) / No. 10 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Sky posted a whopping 97 points a game during Weeks 13 & 14.



ABACUS INFOMERCIAL
Scoring Differential 25 games [171 overall]

1-5 points: 7 games [39 overall]
6-10 points: 9 games [59 overall]
11-15 points: 3 games [33 overall]
16-20 points:  3 games [19 overall]
>20:  3 games [21 overall]



No. 8 Dallas Wings, 13-16 (31)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 3
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 9
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 8
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 9
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 10
12-week Abacus Rank: No. 9]

KK:  -2; (4 Road Wins – 6 Home Losses) / No. 7 overall
Flow:  -4.00; (40.6 stops OF opp [No. 10] – 44.6 stops BY opp [No. 11] / No. 11 overall
Striping:  +0.38; (+1.03) conversions [No. 6] – (+0.66) conversions [No. 4] / No. 4 overall
SPOR-t:  -34; (563 [No. 6] – 597 [No. 10]) / No. 9 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Wings take 4.31 more FT’s per game than the opposition, tops in the league.


No. 9 Seattle Storm, 13-16 (32.5)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 9
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 5
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 9
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 8
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 9
12-week Abacus Rank: No. 10]

KK:  -3; (3 Road Wins – 6 Home Losses) / No. 8 overall (tied)
Flow:  -0.52; (40.6 stops OF opp [No. 9] – 41.1 stops BY opp [No. 4] / No. 8 overall
Striping:  +0.33; (+1.83) conversions [No. 1] - (+1.50) opp conversions [No. 12] / No. 5 overall
SPOR-t:  -97; (511 [No. 11] – 608 [No. 11]) / No. 11 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Storm rank dead last (TO%, .167) in taking care of the ball.


No. 10 Atlanta Dream, 10-19 (36)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 4
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 4
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 7
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 7
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 6
12-week Abacus Rank: No. 8]

KK:  -5; (3 Road Wins – 8 Home Losses) / No. 11 overall
Flow:  -0.45; (43.6 stops OF opp [No. 3] – 44.0 stops BY opp [No. 10] / No. 7 overall
Striping:  -0.88; [-0.26) conversions [No. 12] – (+0.62) conversions [No. 3] / No. 12 overall
SPOR-t:  +4; (554 [No. 8] – 550 [No. 5]) / No. 6 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Dream had more FG attempts than points during their winless Weeks 13 & 14.


ABACUS INFOMERCIAL
Masters of the Craft (Part 2)

Are not the exceptionally inept worthy of some recognition? Here are the teams that hold a Bottom Four offensive and defensive ranking in our key elements of play: FG shooting, three-point shooting, PPG, Offensive Rebounding, Turnovers and SPOR-t.

FG%: Dallas
3FG%: Indiana, Washington
PPG: Atlanta, Indiana
OR%: Indiana, Los Angeles, Seattle
TO%: Chicago, Seattle
SPOR-t: Chicago, Indiana, Seattle


No. 11 San Antonio Stars, 7-23 (38)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 12
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 11
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 12
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 12
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 11
12-week Abacus Rank: No. 11]

KK:  -9; (1 Road Win – 10 Home Losses) / No. 12 overall
Flow:  -2.00; (40.5 stops OF opp [No. 11] – 42.5 stops BY opp [No. 8] / No. 9 overall
Striping:  -0.45; (+0.38) conversions [No. 11] – (+0.83) opp conversions [No. 5] / No. 10 overall
SPOR-t:  -19; (555 [No. 7] – 574 [No. 8]) / No. 7 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Stars have made 58 of 141 treys (.411) during the past four weeks (9 games).


No. 12 Indiana Fever, 9-20 (41)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 6
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 12
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 11
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 11
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 12
12-week Abacus Rank: No. 12]

KK:  -4; (3 Road Wins – 7 Home Losses) / No. 10 overall
Flow:  -4.38; (38.6 stops OF opp [No. 12] – 43.0 stops BY opp [No. 9] / No. 12 overall
Striping:  -0.34; (+0.93) conversions [No. 7] – (+1.28) conversions [No. 10] / No. 7 overall
SPOR-t:  -123; (498 [No. 12] – 621 [No. 10]) / No. 12 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Fever attempted 11 fewer FT’s per game then their opponents during Weeks 13 & 14..


Abacus Revelation for the Road / Random Ranking – Conversion Quotient (CQ)

Total WNBA play through 171 games computes to 26,747 offensive possessions, of which 12,967 resulted in “conversion” – a successful FG or trip to the foul line – a conversion rate of .485.

Minnesota CQ, +72 [conv. rate: .515 (No. 1) – opp. conv rate: .443 (No. 1)]
Los Angeles CQ, +44 [conv. rate: .507 (No. 2) – opp. conv rate: .463 (No. 2)]
Connecticut CQ, +35 [conv. rate: .507 (No. 3) – opp. conv rate: .472 (No. 4)]
New York CQ, +16 [conv. rate: .483 (No. 6) – opp. conv rate: .467 (No. 3)]
Washington CQ, +8 [conv. rate: .489 (No. 4) – opp. conv rate: .481 (No. 6)]
Phoenix CQ, +2 [conv. rate: .487 (No. 5) – opp. conv rate: .485 (No. 7)]
Atlanta CQ, -7 [conv. rate: .474 (No. 9) – opp. conv rate: .481 (No. 5)]
Seattle CQ, -15 [conv. rate: .481 (No. 8) – opp. conv rate: .496 (No. 9)]
San Antonio CQ, -28 [conv. rate: .467 (No. 11) – opp. conv rate: .495 (No. 8)]
Chicago CQ, -29 [conv. rate: .469 (No. 10) – opp. conv rate: .498 (No. 10)]
Dallas CQ, -33 [conv. rate: .483 (No. 7) – opp. conv rate: .516 (No. 11)]
Indiana CQ, -58 [conv. rate: .460 (No. 12) – opp. conv rate: .518 (No. 12)]

Saturday, August 12, 2017

WNBA 2017: 12-week Report Card

Somewhere on every team’s list of desirable qualities, often included among the “keys to victory,” is free-throw line efficiency – make all your foul shots, or at least minimize the misses. The Atlanta Dream miss over five FT’s a game, worst in the “W” – at the other extreme, surprisingly, sits the Indiana Fever who misfire on but 2.60 freebies per game.

But the raw numbers can be misleading. For instance, in their first four games out of the All-Star Break, the Chicago Sky missed a mere eight foul shots – two per game, best in the league; alas, their opponents attempted 11 more FT’s than did the Sky, every game – worst in the league, unsurprisingly.

There’s only one WNBA squad that ranks in the Top Four in both fewest per-game missed free throws, and in differential in per-game FT attempts … that is, only one team who minimizes misses while maximizing attempts. Through 24 games, this group averages 3.04 (No. 2) FT misses per game while taking 3.29 (No. 3) more attempts per game.

You’ll hardly be shocked to learn that such an old-school approach to the No. 2 spot in these rankings is being conducted – through injury, international obligation, and all the other regular whatnot of summer play – under the supervision of Mike Thibault.

The following rankings reflect play through Friday, August 4. An explanation of the criteria is available here. An index of the season’s bi-weekly ratings is available here.


No. 1 Minnesota Lynx, 20-2 (9)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 1
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 1
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 1
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 1
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 1]

KK:  +8; (9 Road Wins – 1 Home Loss) / No. 1 overall
Flow:  +5.32; (44.9 stops OF opp [No. 1] – 39.6 stops BY opp [No. 2] / No. 1 overall
Striping:  +0.05; (+1.09) conversions [No. 4] – (+1.05) opp conversions [No. 6] / No. 6 overall
SPOR-t:  +118; (630 [No. 1] – 512 [No. 2]) / No. 1 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Lynx made three out of every five 2FG attempt during Weeks 11 & 12.

No. 2 Washington Mystics, 14-10 (14.5)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 2
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 3
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 4
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 2
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 2]

KK:  +4; (6 Road Wins – 2 Home Losses) / No. 3 overall (tied)
Flow:  +1.92; (42.7 stops OF opp [No. 4] – 40.8 stops BY opp [No. 4] / No. 3 overall
Striping:  +0.75; (+1.96) conversions [No. 1] – (+1.21) opp conversions [No. 8] / No. 3 overall
SPOR-t:  +31; (585 [No. 3] – 554 [No. 7]) / No. 5 overall

Abacus Revelation: Despite unreliable FG shooting, the Mystics outscore their opponents by 6.3 points per 100 possessions, third-best in the league.


ABACUS INFOMERCIAL
Masters of the Craft (Part 1)

Which teams are performing the rudimentary skills of the game most proficiently at both ends of the floor? Let’s consider six elements of play: FG shooting, three-point shooting, Points per Game, Offensive Rebounding, the matter of turnovers and the SPOR-t score of our ratings. These teams hold a Top Four rank offensively and defensively:

FG%: Minnesota
3FG%: Chicago, Minnesota
PPG: Los Angeles, Minnesota
OR%: Minnesota, New York
TO%: Atlanta, Los Angeles
SPOR-t: Connecticut, Los Angeles, Minnesota


No. 3 Los Angeles Sparks, 18-6 (15)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 8
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 5
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 5
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 5
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 3]

KK:  +5; (6 Road Wins – 1 Home Loss) / No. 2 overall
Flow:  +3.42; (42.3 stops OF opp [No. 8] – 38.8 stops BY opp [No. 1] / No. 2 overall
Striping:  -0.21; (+0.92) conversions [No. 8] – (+1.13) opp conversions [No. 7]) / No. 7 overall
SPOR-t:  +41; (574 [No. 4] – 533 [No. 4]) / No. 4 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Sparks shot 120 for 216 (.555) on two-pointers during Weeks 11 & 12.

No. 4 Connecticut Sun, 15-9 (17.5)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 11
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 7
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 3
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 4
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 4]

KK:  +4; (7 Road Wins – 3 Home Losses) / No. 3 overall (tied)
Flow:  +1.58; (42.6 stops OF opp [No. 5] – 41.0 stops BY opp [No. 5] / No. 4 overall
Striping:  -0.23; (+1.08) conversions [No. 5] – (+1.31) conversions [No. 9] / No. 8 overall
SPOR-t:  +89; (614 [No. 2] – 525 [No. 3]) / No. 2 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Sun defense recorded a whopping 50.7 stops per game during Weeks 11 & 12.

No. 5 Phoenix Mercury, 13-11 (21)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 7
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 2
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 2
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 3
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 5]

KK:  0; (6 Road Win – 6 Home Losses) / No. 6 overall
Flow:  +0.92; (43.3 stops OF opp [No. 3] – 42.4 stops BY opp [No. 6] / No. 6 overall
Striping:  +0.77; (+1.06) conversions [No. 6] – (+0.29) opp conversions [No. 1] / No. 2 overall
SPOR-t:  -19; (523 [No. 10] – 542 [No. 5]) / No. 7 overall

Abacus Revelation: Taurasi & Co. take one more three-pointer a quarter than their opponents – every quarter, every game.


ABACUS INFOMERCIAL
Scoring Pace 24 games [146 overall]

100+ points: 1 game [12 overall]
90-99 points: 11 games [56 overall]
80-89 points: 18 games [104 overall]
70-79 points: 13 games [83 overall]
60-69 points: 4 games [29 overall]
<60 points: 1 games [8 overall]



No. 6 New York Liberty, 12-12 (26)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 5
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 7
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 6
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 6
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 7]

KK: +1; (5 Road Wins – 4 Home Losses) / No. 5 overall
Flow:  +0.08; (42.6 stops OF opp [No. 6] – 42.5 stops BY opp [No. 7] / No. 7 overall
Striping:  -0.71; (+0.60) conversions [No. 10] – (+1.31) opp conversions [No. 9] / No. 11 overall
SPOR-t:  +63; (573 [No. 5] – 510 [No. 1]) / No. 3 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Liberty defense was slow coming back from the ASB, yielding a 47% FG rate (No. 11) and 50% conversion rate (No. 10).


No. 7 Chicago Sky, 9-16 (29.5)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 11
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 10
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 10
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 10
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 8]

KK:  -2; (7 Road Wins – 9 Home Losses) / No. 8 overall (tied)
Flow:  -2.72; (42.4 stops OF opp [No. 7] – 45.2 stops BY opp [No. 12] / No. 10 overall
Striping:  +1.00; (+1.32) conversions [No. 3] – (+0.32) opp conversions [No. 2] / No. 1 overall
SPOR-t:  -51; (537 [No. 9] – 588 [No. 9]) / No. 10 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Sky had less than half as many FT attempts as their opponents (33 compared to 77) during Weeks 11 & 12.


ABACUS INFOMERCIAL
Scoring Differential 24 games [146 overall]

1-5 points: 6 games [32 overall]
6-10 points: 6 games [50 overall]
11-15 points: 7 games [30 overall]
16-20 points:  3 games [16 overall]
>20:  2 games [18 overall]



No. 8 Atlanta Dream, 10-14 (31.5)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 4
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 4
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 7
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 7
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 6]

KK:  -2; (3 Road Wins – 5 Home Losses) / No. 8 overall (tied)
Flow:  +0.96; (44.7 stops OF opp [No. 2] – 43.7 stops BY opp [No. 10] / No. 5 overall
Striping:  -0.94; [-0.37) conversions [No. 12] – (+0.56) conversions [No. 3] / No. 12 overall
SPOR-t:  -1; (544 [No. 8] – 545 [No. 6]) / No. 6 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Dream seem to have the Three-Game figured out – they rank No. 2 in defending treys (.292) and induce opponents to register the third highest usage rate (.274).


No. 9 Dallas Wings, 12-14 (33)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 3
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 9
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 8
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 9
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 10]

KK:  -1; (4 Road Wins – 5 Home Losses) / No. 7 overall
Flow:  -4.04; (40.1 stops OF opp [No. 10] – 44.1 stops BY opp [No. 11] / No. 12 overall
Striping:  +0.29; (+1.02) conversions [No. 7] – (+0.73) conversions [No. 4] / No. 5 overall
SPOR-t:  -43; (561 [No. 6] – 604 [No. 11]) / No. 9 overall

Abacus Revelation: Among the league’s poorer shooters from distance, the Wings drained 42% of their treys over Weeks 11 & 12.


No. 10 Seattle Storm, 10-14 (33.5)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 9
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 5
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 9
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 8
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 9]

KK:  -4; (2 Road Wins – 6 Home Losses) / No. 10 overall (tied)
Flow:  -0.17; (40.4 stops OF opp [No. 9] – 40.5 stops BY opp [No. 3] / No. 8 overall
Striping:  +0.31; (+1.94) conversions [No. 2] - (+1.63) opp conversions [No. 12] / No. 4 overall
SPOR-t:  -95; (514 [No. 11] – 609 [No. 12]) / No. 11 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Storm’s anemic board-work ranks them dead last in both Offensive and Defensive Rebounding.


ABACUS INFOMERCIAL
Masters of the Craft (Part 2)

Are not the exceptionally inept worthy of some recognition? Here are the teams that hold a Bottom Four offensive and defensive ranking in our key elements of play: FG shooting, three-point shooting, PPG, Offensive Rebounding, Turnovers and SPOR-t.

FG%: Dallas
3FG%: Dallas, Indiana
PPG: Indiana
OR%: Indiana, Seattle
TO%: Chicago, Seattle
SPOR-t: Chicago, Indiana, Seattle



No. 11 San Antonio Stars, 5-21 (39)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 12
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 11
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 12
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 12
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 11]

KK:  -9; (1 Road Win – 10 Home Losses) / No. 12 overall
Flow:  -2.58; (40.0 stops OF opp [No. 11] – 42.6 stops BY opp [No. 9] / No. 9 overall
Striping:  -0.60; (+0.25) conversions [No. 11] – (+0.85) opp conversions [No. 5] / No. 10 overall
SPOR-t:  -30; (552 [No. 7] – 582 [No. 8]) / No. 8 overall

Abacus Revelation: For the first time this season, the Stars attempted more FT’s than the opposition (three per game) during Weeks 11 & 12.


No. 12 Indiana Fever, 8-17 (42.5)
[2-week Abacus Rank: No. 6
4-week Abacus Rank: No. 12
6-week Abacus Rank: No. 11
8-week Abacus Rank: No. 11
10-week Abacus Rank: No. 12]

KK:  -4; (3 Road Wins – 7 Home Losses) / No. 10 overall (tied)
Flow:  -3.44; (39.0 stops OF opp [No. 12] – 42.5 stops BY opp [No. 8] / No. 11 overall
Striping:  -0.48; (+0.88) conversions [No. 9] – (+1.36) conversions [No. 11] / No. 9 overall
SPOR-t:  -99; (501 [No. 12] – 600 [No. 10]) / No. 12 overall

Abacus Revelation: The Fever offense has limped to less than a point per possession over the past six weeks (13 games).


Abacus Revelation for the Road / Random Ranking – Per-game Turnover Differential

Through 146 games, WNBA play has produced 3,806 turnovers (or 13.03 per game per team) … just about one in six (.167) of the more than 22,000 offensive possessions.

For the record, seven times this season WNBA teams have played to a standoff in the Turnover column of a game’s stat sheet … in the remaining games, the team that committed fewer TO’s has 89 wins and 50 losses, .640. Hmmm.

Los Angeles -2.87 TO’s committed per game [11.8 (No. 3) – 14.7 (No. 2)]
Atlanta -2.79 TO’s committed per game [12.2 (No. 4) – 15.0 (No. 1)]
Connecticut -1.83 TO’s committed per game [11.7 (No. 2) – 13.5 (No. 7)]
Indiana -1.40 TO’s committed per game [12.4 (No. 5) – 13.8 (No. 5)]
Minnesota -1.00 TO’s committed per game [13.7 (No. 9) – 14.7 (No. 3)]
Dallas -0.77 TO’s committed per game [13.3 (No. 1) – 14.1 (No. 4)]
Washington -0.75 TO’s committed per game [10.8 (No. 1) – 11.5 (No. 10)]
Phoenix -0.29 TO’s committed per game [13.3 (No. 1) – 13.6 (No. 6)]
San Antonio +1.92 TO’s committed per game [14.3 (No. 10) – 12.4 (No. 8)]
New York +2.58 TO’s committed per game [13.1 (No. 6) – 10.5 (No. 12)]
Seattle +2.71 TO’s committed per game [14.4 (No. 11) – 11.7 (No. 9)]
Chicago +4.25 TO’s committed per game [15.3 (No. 12) – 11.1 (No. 11)]